The Dispatch Deep Dive March 15, 2026 8 min read

The Anthropic IPO Will Open Without Warning.

Anthropic — the $380 billion AI company behind Claude — is heading for an IPO. When it happens, millions of investors worldwide will open their broker apps at 9:30 a.m. and wait. And wait. The stock won't trade for hours. Nobody will tell them when. And if they're outside the US, it'll be the middle of the night. Bellipo exists for this exact moment: to tap you on the shoulder the second the IPO is about to open.

The Assumption That Will Cost You

What is Bellipo

Bellipo is the first platform built entirely around the IPO lifecycle — from S-1 filing to first trade, lockup expiration, and beyond. We deliver real-time pipeline tracking, AI-powered S-1 briefs, and proprietary demand scoring, plus precision alerts: PING fires when pricing becomes official — typically the evening before trading, occasionally the morning of, always before the open — carrying the final offer price. STRIKE fires the instant the first trade prints. Retail investors get to prepare for IPO day with the same intelligence institutions take for granted.

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The stock market opens at 9:30 a.m. ET. You know this. So when Anthropic goes public — a company valued at $380 billion, the maker of Claude, the safety-first counterweight to OpenAI — you'd assume the stock starts trading at 9:30 a.m.

It won't.

We know this because it never does. When Figma IPO'd in July 2025, the stock didn't begin trading until 1:59 p.m. ET. That's four hours and twenty-nine minutes after market open. If you showed up at 9:30 a.m. and stared at your screen, you sat through the entire morning, lunch, and most of the afternoon before a single share changed hands.

This isn't a Figma anomaly. This is how every IPO works. And Anthropic will be no different.

1:59 p.m. Figma's actual first trade (July 2025) 4h 29m Time retail sat waiting after market open 0 Brokers that warned you when it happened

Now Imagine You're Not in New York

Most IPO coverage assumes you're a professional trader glued to a screen all day. But the majority of retail interest in Anthropic won't come from Wall Street desks. Claude has users in 190+ countries. AI is global. The excitement is global.

There are over 60 million non-US investors actively trading US equities through brokers like Interactive Brokers, eToro, Saxo, and Tiger Brokers. When Anthropic goes public, interest won't just be American — it'll be planetary.

Here's what "planetary" actually looks like when an IPO opens hours late:

When the IPO Actually Opens — By Your Clock City Figma Opened At What You're Doing New YorkET 1:59 p.m. In a meeting LondonBST 6:59 p.m. Making dinner DubaiGST 9:59 p.m. Kids' bedtime MumbaiIST 11:29 p.m. Already asleep TokyoJST 2:59 a.m. Dead asleep SydneyAEST 3:59 a.m. Alarm set for nothing

This isn't an edge case. This is the default experience for most of the world's retail investors on IPO day. And it'll be exactly the same for Anthropic.

Why Does This Happen?

When a company IPOs, the stock doesn't just "go live" at 9:30 a.m. There's an invisible price discovery auction: the designated market maker collects buy and sell orders for hours, working with underwriters to find a balanced price. During this time, your broker shows nothing. No countdown. No progress bar. Then — sometime between 10 a.m. and 2 p.m. ET — the stock opens. It just... happens.

Figma priced at $33 the night before. When the auction ended at 1:59 p.m., it opened at $85. The first trade was a 158% jump — and retail had zero visibility into when it would land.

The Measured First-Print Lag

Every figure below is measured from the Bellipo record: 116 listings between 14 May 2025 – 7 August 2026 that carry a first-print timestamp, each one clocked from the 09:30 a.m. ET opening bell to the minute the first share actually changed hands. The median gap was three hours. Not one of them started trading at 9:30.

Deals measured

116

Median lag

3h 00m

Middle half

2h 30m – 3h 20m

Earliest

1 min

Latest

5h 05m

Opened in the first hour

5 of 116

Read the shape rather than the average: two-thirds of these deals printed between two and a half and four hours after the bell, and the fastest and slowest are hours apart on the same clock. That is why a fixed time cannot be published in advance — and why Figma's 1:58 p.m. First Print was not an anomaly so much as the long end of an ordinary distribution.

Track every IPO from filing to first trade — and beyond

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Day 1 Returns — The Data Speaks

The gap between the institutional IPO price and the opening trade is already baked in before retail can touch it. What matters to you is what happens after the stock starts trading — and the data on that is striking.

On average, recent high-profile IPOs have delivered double-digit day-1 returns from open to close. Not every IPO does this — but the ones with the most demand and the most attention tend to move the most on day 1, and that movement is concentrated in the first trading session.

Day 1 Performance FIGFigma Opened 1:59 p.m. ET

IPO

$33

Open

$85

Close

$117

Day 1

+37%

CRCLCircle Opened ~1:30 p.m. ET

IPO

$31

Open

$69

Close

$83

Day 1

+20%

Figma opened at $85 at 1:59 p.m. ET and closed at $117 — a +37% move in a single session. Circle opened at $69 and closed at $83 — a +20% day-1 return. These aren't guaranteed outcomes, and past performance doesn't predict the future. But the pattern is consistent enough that being aware of when trading starts is a material advantage — regardless of what you decide to do with that information.

Why This Isn't Just About Time Zones

The sleep angle is real — if you're in Tokyo at 2:59 a.m. when Anthropic opens, you have a problem. But the bigger issue is structural:

Bellipo solves all of these — not just the timezone problem. It's the difference between showing up prepared and showing up guessing.

2026 Is Stacked — And the World Isn't Ready

Most Anticipated IPOs — 2026 SpaceX Largest IPO in history $1.77T+ Mid-June 2026 OpenAI ChatGPT, frontier AI $840B+ Q4 2026 Anthropic Claude, AI safety leader $380B+ 2026–2027 Stripe Payments infrastructure $159B+ TBD 2026 Databricks AI/data infrastructure $134B+ Q2–Q3 2026

Every one of these will go through the same process. The stock doesn't trade until hours after market open. Nobody will tell you when.

Bellipo Is the Solution

Bellipo isn't just an alert system. It's the first platform built to track the entire IPO lifecycle in one place — from S-1 filing to roadshow, pricing, opening auction, first trade, and beyond. Every stage, every event, every timestamp. No more piecing together fragments from CNBC, Twitter, SEC filings, and your broker's notification center. One source. One timeline. One system that actually understands how IPOs work.

The problem Bellipo solves isn't a single thing — it's a category gap:

And when IPO day arrives, Bellipo delivers the three signals that matter most:

PING

Priced — when pricing becomes official, always before the open

The moment the IPO sets its final offer price, you get the number — ahead of the opening. It would wake you up at 3 a.m. in Sydney, pull you out of a meeting in London, tap you on the shoulder wherever you are. Time to review the S-1 highlights and set your limit order with conviction, not guesswork.

STRIKE

First trade just printed

Price, timestamp, gap from offer — delivered within minutes of the print. STRIKE confirms you're in the right place at the right time.

After the first trade, Bellipo keeps tracking — lockup expirations, quiet period endings, first earnings as a public company. The IPO doesn't end at the opening bell, and neither does Bellipo.

If you're serious about Anthropic, SpaceX, OpenAI, or any major IPO in 2026 — awareness is the edge, preparation is the moat, and Bellipo is the only platform built to deliver the full picture. What you do with that information is your decision.

Track every IPO from filing to first trade — and beyond

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IF

Written by

Isam Fathi

Founder & CEO, Bellipo

Building the IPO Command Center — so retail investors walk into IPO day with the same intelligence institutions take for granted.

Follow @bellipohq

The IPO Command Center

Don't watch the next IPO from the sidelines.

Track every IPO from S-1 filing to first trade. PING fires when pricing becomes official — typically the evening before trading, occasionally the morning of, always before the open — carrying the final offer price. STRIKE fires the instant the first share trades. Walk in ready, not reacting. Bellipo doesn't stop at the open — ORBIT follows the post-IPO window where the base forms. This is IPO Lifecycle Management (ILM).

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